Presidents
are not judged simply by what they do but by how adroitly they respond to the
peculiar exigencies of their time. It was always going to be the case that
President Goodluck Jonathan would be judged by his handling of Nigeria’s
national security crisis. Considering the tragic routinization of death and
destruction and the privatization of violence by non-state actors, the
commander-in-chief could not have expected any less.
The
constitution states that, “The security and welfare of the Nigerian people
shall be the primary purpose of government.” The sequence is significant. Security
is the basic condition of society without which there can be no welfare. Under
Jonathan’s administration we have witnessed the mass murder of conservatively
over ten thousand Nigerians, the displacement of 1.5 million people by
terrorists, the dislodgement of 3.3 million people – the highest number of
internally displaced people in Africa – and the loss of some 20, 000 square
kilometers of sovereign Nigerian territory to insurgents.
While
Jonathan points to his accomplishments (and they do exist) in agriculture and
infrastructure, it is his miserable handling of the security crisis that will
likely define his presidential legacy. His campaign ads may flaunt pictures of
newly installed trains and highways but dead people cannot ride trains or appreciate
macroeconomic abstractions. Undoubtedly, the Chibok girls and their
grief-stricken parents – tragic symbols of Jonathan’s indifferent leadership – are
unenthused by his administration’s infrastructural gains. Most Nigerians just want
to regain a sense that their lives are worth protecting.
Nigerians
may have been willing to forgive Jonathan’s fatal dereliction of his duties as
commander-in-chief had his responses to incidents like the Chibok abductions,
the Nyanya bombings last year and the more recent slaughter in Baga not
displayed such a blatant indifference to the plight of his compatriots. If the
Chibok debacle witnessed his government responding with the haste of a
paraplegic tortoise and the Nyanya bombings formed the morbid backdrop for a
political rally the following day in Kano, where he bizarrely chose to dance on
stage; observers were genuinely mystified when in the aftermath of the recent
Baga massacres, Jonathan kept silent but swiftly sent a solidarity message to
France over terror attacks in Paris.
Jonathan
has been defended as a well-meaning neophyte in security matters, heavily
reliant on his defence chiefs and security czars. However, the national
security crisis has exposed much more than his lack of pedigree in security
issues; it has highlighted a basic emotional unintelligence and an appalling
failure to appreciate the crowd-pleasing optics and sonics that citizens expect
of the man sworn to protect them.
The
president has contrived to miss several opportunities to demonstrate executive
resolve. Abba Moro, the Interior Minister who oversaw the fraudulent
recruitment exercise into the immigration service that cost twenty young
Nigerian lives in stampedes remains in the cabinet. Jonathan remains bafflingly
beholden to the defence chiefs under whose tenure the insurgency metastasized into
a programme of jihadist colonization. Vital national security functions such as
maritime policing have been outsourced to a presidential crony – a transaction
that has coincided with a spike in oil theft and piracy.
Whether
through deliberate maleficence or involuntary incompetence or both, Jonathan’s abysmal
statecraft is eroding Nigeria’s national security with an unacceptably heavy
cost in Nigerian lives. The impression that this president was promoted beyond
his competence by serendipity is unavoidable. In 2011, an unsuspecting
electorate mistook his mild manners and self-effacement for virtues but the
presidency demands far more than an avuncular disposition.
An
election is typically a referendum on the incumbent. Aware that their
principal’s record cannot bear clear-eyed electoral scrutiny, Team Jonathan has
tried to focus attention on the challenger. However the question is not whether
Muhammadu Buhari is qualified for high office (which he undeniably is) but
whether Jonathan deserves a second term. The Jonathan campaign has deployed
libelous innuendo, ethno-religious chauvinism and character assassination – all
vain but understandably necessitous diversions from the real issues such as the
incipient economic crisis, the imminence of austerity measures, the
administration’s dire financial stewardship, the promised forensic and
evidently phantom audit of the opaque Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation,
his sanguine tolerance of high level graft, serial failed promises to end the
insurgency and the unforced errors that have made Nigeria a global punch line.
Jonathan
has failed to weave his few modest achievements into a winsome narrative. A
campaign which should have rebooted his presidency has instead yielded more counterproductive
soundbites. Having criticized some politicians for sounding like touts,
Jonathan’s campaign has itself frequently peddled the indecent and the
indecorous. From Ayo Fayose’s repulsive death wish ad to Vice President Namadi
Sambo’s abhorrent invocation of religious hatred, Jonathan’s men are plumbing
the sewers for campaign material.
The
most troubling aspect of Jonathan’s campaign is its cynical exploitation of our
religious and ethnic fault lines to set Nigerians against each other – a ploy
that detracts from the president’s already diminished stature. The ironic
result is that the supposedly archaic opposition challenger has run the more
issues-driven campaign while the incumbent traffics in disinformation, distractions
and distortions. Thus, all that a purportedly transformative five-year
presidency can offer is the backhanded argument that Jonathan is the certified
devil to Buhari’s unknown angel. The leadership of the world’s sixth largest
democracy deserves more edifying campaign rhetoric but Jonathan is clearly needs
the debate mired in the gutter. This readiness to polarize the country and to
appeal to our basest instincts rather than the better angels of our nature is
one more reason why Jonathan does not deserve a second term.
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