Current
trends in the domestic politics of the United States have implications for the
world. On major issues requiring bipartisan consensus for progress – welfare
and social security reform, gun control, cutting the deficit and immigration –
recalcitrant Republicans and Democrats are locked in an ideological impasse.
The only area in which the US president has real latitude is in foreign policy.
Presidents shackled by the restrictions of stalemated domestic politics can
still look impressive and act imperiously on the world stage. Nowhere is this
more evident that in the president’s power to conduct wars.
We
may be approaching a time when presidents will orchestrate military engagements
abroad in order to shore up their ratings at home. With domestic politics
deadlocked, American voters may have no other means for evaluating their
leaders than how muscularly they conduct themselves abroad.
In
August 1998, President Bill Clinton, while facing intense congressional
scrutiny over the Monica Lewinsky affair, ordered cruise missile strikes on
terrorist camps in Afghanistan and Sudan in retaliation for earlier attacks on
US embassies in Kenya and Tanzania. Some critics thought that Clinton was
trying to deflect attention from the tawdry scandal threatening to submerge his
presidency by appearing presidential and decisive on the world stage. They cited
“Wag the Dog”, a movie in which the White House hires a Hollywood film maker to
create a fake war in the media to divert attention from the president’s sexual
peccadilloes. Clinton administration spokesmen denied that the president was
trying to wag the dog.
The
notion that an American president could stage an international incident for
domestic political gain is not outlandish. We could yet see the assassinations
of foreign nationals whether terrorists, rogue scientists or dissidents
strategically timed to provoke an uptick in pre-election polls. This would
simply be a logical advancement from the George W. Bush administration’s use of
colour-coded terror alerts to frighten the American public into acquiescence.
Foreign
wars conducted by special ops units and Predator drones can enable presidents
to exorcise the “wimp factor” that comes from being unable to push their agenda
through an implacable congress. Bitterly divided at home between Liberal
secularists and conservative religionists, war-making may become a logical
means by which a president conjures patriotic paroxysms and rallies his people
to the Star - Spangled Banner.
The
last decade witnessed an unprecedented expansion of the president’s war powers
and their disconnection from congressional oversight and democratic
constraints. Liberals had hoped that Barack Obama would reverse the trend which
began under Bush. But it has continued largely because politicians are rarely
inclined to refuse more power and also because of the sense that an assertive
presidency is needed as a counterweight to an intransigent do-nothing congress
and to shepherd an evidently “confused” electorate which keeps sending divided
governments to Washington. As Peter Beinart
wrote recently in Newsweek, “Liberals
may not be thrilled about the drone program, but they trust Obama’s judgment in
a way they never trusted Bush’s. And… they want a president strong enough to
impose his will on a Congress that they consider reactionary, corrupt, and
dismissive of the public will.”
During
the 2012 elections, Republican efforts to tar Obama as weak on national
security as they typically do to liberal presidents simply failed to stick
against the man who took out Osama Bin Laden and ordered more drone strikes in
his first year than his predecessor did in his entire eight years. With
presidents rendered impotent at home but virile abroad, thanks to the
exigencies of the “war on terror”, the world has ample reason to fear American
militarism. Because drones largely eliminate the need for boots on the ground
and therefore the spectacle of flag-draped body bags arriving from foreign
lands to public outrage, they offer a politically cost-effective way of waging
war and attaining the tough guy image that reassures Americans that the
president is keeping them safe. With their disregard for the niceties of
sovereignty and international law, drones are the new symbol of US imperial omnipotence.
It
is worth noting that the debate in the US over the drone-assassination of Anwar
al Awlaki, an American citizen, was about whether the president can order the
termination of a US citizen. It is taken for granted that he can order the
killing of foreign citizens. Indeed, the US can kill foreign citizens in their
own countries as drone strikes in Pakistan and Yemen indicate. The toll in
“collateral damage” – civilians, men, women and children – is deemed an
“acceptable loss.”
The
international media, so often exercised about Arab terrorists and African
warlords, its favourite pantomime villains, has little to say about the serial
misdeeds of the biggest war-making power on earth. The very viable case for
hauling US officials (Bush and Dick Cheney would be great) before the War
Crimes Tribunal is simply laughed off. It is the most pungent indication that
the international community is an unfair constellation and that might is still
right. While western pundits fulminate over the election of Uhuru Kenyatta who
is billed to appear at the Hague for alleged crimes against humanity, they
side-step the fact that US and British officials are responsible for far more
deaths of innocents in Afghanistan and
Iraq. It seems that wearing a suit and sitting in White Hall or the White House
while ordering a war on the basis of fabricated evidence (as in Iraq), confers
immunity from justice.
As
is so often the case, technology has a way of democratizing power and will do
so yet again in this brave new world of imperial presidents and drones. It was
when China and Russia joined America in the club of nuclear nations that she
began to advocate nuclear arms control treaties. American officials will start
preaching restraint in the use of drones once China and Russia carry out drone
campaigns of their own. The Bush administration’s doctrine of pre-emptive war
undermined America’s customary self-righteous sermonizing to other countries.
US officials bleat tamely about the need for dialogue and restraint when China and
Russia carry out bloody campaigns in Tibet and Chechnya, because they recognize
that it is hypocrital to do so. Vladmir Putin gamely defined Russian operations
in Chechnya as a “war on terror”, appropriating Bush’s terminology and implying
moral equivalence between the two nations’ militarisms.
The
problem with Pax Americana is that its imperial character cannot make the world
more peaceful. After witnessing the Euro-American intervention in Libya which
ousted Gaddafi, other nations took note. They watched as western nations
violated a country’s sovereignty, aided an internal insurrection, bombed the country
into submission, and saw to the killing of the country’s leader. They learned
that Gaddafi had signed his death warrant when he signed away Libya’s weapons
of mass destruction. This is why Iran and North Korea are unlikely to give up
their nuclear aspirations; because they fear a power that has arrogated to
itself the right to determine who rules other nations. Despite the war
weariness in the west stemming from the disasters in Iraq and Afghanistan, the
potential for conflict in the Persian Gulf and the Korean Peninsula is quite
high.
Thus,
Pax Americana by default, if not design, can only generate conflict in the
world. It will continue to do so until two things happen – until the US
resolves the contradictions that have paralyzed its domestic politics which in
turn prompts her presidents to play “Captain America” and engage in imperial
overreach. More importantly, there has to be a common plumb line for global
justice that targets war criminals of every hue…Yes, including those that are
to be found in White Hall and the White House.
All Images Sourced Online.